Current maritime fuels look set to become more costly than low carbon alternatives as the International Maritime Organisation (IMO) and EU emission regulations tighten, with this impacting the sector from as early as 2025, methanol is gaining traction as a fuel to deliver a viable route to comply with stricter emission regulations.
“There is a strong move among ship owners to address decarbonisation and methanol is emerging as a key solution” said Adam Forsyth, Head of Research at Longspur. “Regulatory developments from the IMO and EU are raising low carbon shipping up the agenda and methanol is seeing strong interest with over 100 methanol-fuelled vessels now on the water or on order.”
The main conclusions of the report include the following:
A key driver in the uptake of methanol that has been identified is the strengthening of emission regulations, with both the IMO and the EU seeking stricter controls. These changes could make existing maritime fuel more costly than low carbon alternatives.
Longspur’s analysis suggests that predicted total addressable annual market for methanol in shipping to be 179MT HFO equivalent by 2050, almost doubling the current methanol demand.
Renewable methanol can be produced using renewable feedstocks and renewable energy in the form of either bio-methanol or green e-methanol. The production of renewable methanol provides a use case for green hydrogen and sustainable biomass.
Methanol offers key advantages such as lower cost options, wider availability, is technology proven and flexible, making it a strong option for ship owners in becoming a major part of the decarbonisation toolkit.
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